(Arthur continues his analysis and observations of the Iranian election with this third installment.)
Turns out, according to CNN, by law no Iranian election can become official until three days after the vote, to permit any issues of vote fraud to be judged. On that basis the outcome of the election is not and cannot be official yet, but Ayatollah Khamenei has called it already, in an apparent violation of Iranian law. A source tells CNN that the three other opponents are pulling their political strings, going to the highest level of religious leaders who pull the strings behind it all, sort of like a religious Supreme Court, who make really quick rulings.
It may be over, or it may be just the start of something remarkable. The US is doing a good job of keeping quiet, which is really, really smart. Stuff happens, but intruding into the middle of this mess would be exactly the sort of thing a dumbass like Bush would do, but which Obama will not do. It is the difference between having a President who is a dumbass, as opposed to one who is really, really smart, who thinks and works to understand before he opens his mouth.
Was the election in Iran an honest one? No, there seems to be clear evidence that none of the figures released are remotely credible. The tip-off is that the Azeri region, which could be expected to support Mousavi, who IS an Azeri, is claimed to have voted for Ahmadinejad. As if. The home towns of other challengers were equally uninterested in voting for them, while in past elections that would have been the normal pattern. In short, the current President of Iran is a lying weasel. Will the powers-that-be in Iran go along with this charade, or will they call a halt to such widespread institutional dishonesty? Stay tuned. Again, I think we are watching history being made. There is some impressive brinksmanship playing itself out on the world stage. It may work, it may not.
Arthur
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